Thurs 11/18 update
The signal for a storm Sun - Mon is weakening here but is not gone. There is still significant variability between models and runs but the overall trend is for showers or rain (but not snow) and keeps the worst of the weather offshore. Still not confident in this forecast, though, so we will keep an eye on it. Also potential for some gusty winds later on Monday that may impact flying to some extent.
Thurs - Friday next week still very much up in the air.
Thanks, Max!! You too.
(And here's to hoping we don't have any more of your posts on the holiday week weather!)
Soul_29 said:
I hope that this doesn't affect the Turkey Drop!
Oh the Humanity!!
Happy Thanksgiving all. Let's be grateful for good weather enabling good get togethers of family and friends. Safe travels to all who are traveling for the holiday.
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Wed 11/17
Just to let you know I am watching multiple storm signals next week. At this time, it is too early to to forecast the location of these two systems. Timing brackets Thanksgiving, with the first system passing by or through Mon - Tues and the second at the end of the week.
Currently, most of the global modeling has both storms in this complex system miss our immediate area either north or offshore. This could change, but I won't feel confident about any sort of trend until at the least Friday 11/19.
These signals are the start of a longer weather pattern that likely will bring more unsettled weather for the next month or more.